Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.139668 0.163605 0.189954 0.221047 0.256670 0.296141 0.343117
2026-01-04 0.103033 0.136083 0.176447 0.229051 0.295446 0.376078 0.480987
2026-01-11 0.081770 0.118210 0.166287 0.233662 0.324818 0.442918 0.606383
2026-01-18 0.066905 0.104370 0.157093 0.235531 0.347812 0.501023 0.723743
2026-01-25 0.055794 0.093144 0.148788 0.236007 0.367089 0.554050 0.837340
2026-02-01 0.046543 0.082757 0.139624 0.233111 0.379937 0.597820 0.940348
2026-02-08 0.038968 0.073547 0.130597 0.228640 0.388994 0.635727 1.036786
2026-02-15 0.032133 0.064292 0.119960 0.219804 0.389548 0.659837 1.113205
2026-02-22 0.029790 0.062586 0.121667 0.231425 0.424023 0.739356 1.281849
2026-03-01 0.025252 0.055955 0.113712 0.225154 0.427430 0.768537 1.371286
2026-03-08 0.021254 0.049653 0.105408 0.217049 0.426451 0.789781 1.448492
2026-03-15 0.018301 0.044964 0.099468 0.212472 0.431019 0.820365 1.543145
2026-03-22 0.016561 0.042663 0.098072 0.216722 0.452753 0.883538 1.700683
2026-03-29 0.015281 0.041191 0.098202 0.224068 0.481177 0.961155 1.890066
2026-04-05 0.013910 0.039245 0.097033 0.228545 0.504315 1.030696 2.069627
2026-04-12 0.012511 0.036959 0.094770 0.230373 0.522188 1.091522 2.237096
2026-04-19 0.011198 0.034634 0.092063 0.230839 0.537157 1.147657 2.399240
2026-04-26 0.009854 0.031950 0.088113 0.228001 0.544796 1.189863 2.537321
2026-05-03 0.008604 0.029264 0.083745 0.223618 0.548571 1.224445 2.662583
2026-05-10 0.007316 0.026181 0.077899 0.214958 0.541952 1.237203 2.745049
2026-05-17 0.007071 0.026223 0.080175 0.226349 0.581564 1.348355 3.033282
2026-05-24 0.006130 0.023859 0.075658 0.220201 0.580150 1.372913 3.145278
2026-05-31 0.005249 0.021476 0.070699 0.212258 0.573645 1.385895 3.233718